A escolha de não ser discreto: discutindo a utilização de modelos discretos contínuos no transporte de carga

Autores

  • Rodrigo Javier Tapia Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul – Brasil
  • Ana Margarita Larranaga Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul – Brasil
  • Helena Beatriz Cybis Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul – Brasil
  • Gerard de Jong University of Leeds, West Yorkshire – Reino Unido

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v28i4.2398

Palavras-chave:

MDCEV. Transporte de carga. Modelos de escolha.

Resumo

O transporte de carga tem utilizado os modelos herdados do transporte de passageiros e com eles todos seus pressupostos tradicionais. Mas são todos eles válidos? O presente artigo visa discutir sobre um dos pressupostos menos contestados neste processo de modelagem: o da exclusividade mútua das alternativas no contexto do transporte de carga. Para isso, este artigo apresenta uma aplicação de Multiple Discrete Extreme Value Model (MDCEV) para a escolha de modo e porto para os consolidadores de grãos na Argentina. O modelo é desenvolvido a partir de uma pesquisa de Preferência Declarada que permitia a escolha de mais de uma alternativa simultaneamente. A escolha é descrita pelo Tempo de Viagem, Tempo de Espera do Serviço, Preço de venda no porto e Custo do Frete. O MDCEV permitiu obter informação sobre o efeito da saciedade das diferentes alternativas. De esta maneira, o MDCEV pode ser uma ferramenta valiosa para a modelagem de escolhas táticas e estratégicas.

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Publicado

16-11-2020

Como Citar

Tapia, R. J., Larranaga, A. M., Cybis, H. B., & de Jong, G. (2020). A escolha de não ser discreto: discutindo a utilização de modelos discretos contínuos no transporte de carga. TRANSPORTES, 28(4), 64–75. https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v28i4.2398

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